• Europe roundup: Sterling slumps as pressure mounts on PM May, Euro plunges as German business morale deteriorate, European shares tumble - Thursday, May 23rd, 2019

    Source: FxWire Pro - Media Round Ups / 23 May 2019 12:58:58   Europe/London

    Market Roundup

    • EUR/USD -0.14%, USD/JPY -0.3%, GBP/USD -0.21%, EUR/GBP 0.08%
    • DXY 0.17%, DAX -1.86%, FTSE -1.36%, Brent -1.76%, Gold 0.27%
    • Theresa May clings to power as Brexit gambit backfires
    • China has ample policy tools to cope with yuan swings -c.bank
    • China says U.S. needs to correct wrong actions to continue trade talks
    • EZ May Markit Mfg Flash PMI, 47.7, 48.1 f'cast, 47.9 prev
    • EZ May Markit Comp Flash PMI, 51.6, 51.7 f'cast, 51.5 prev
    • Germany Q1 GDP Detailed QQ SA, 0.4%, 0.4% f'cast, 0.4% prev
    • Germany Q1 GDP Detailed YY NSA, 0.6%, 0.6% f'cast, 0.6% prev
    • Germany May Ifo Business Climate New, 97.9, 99.1 f'cast, 99.2 prev
    • Germany May Ifo Current Conditions New, 100.6, 103.5 f'cast, 103.3 prev, 103.4 r'vsd
    • Germany May Markit Mfg Flash PMI, 44.3, 44.8 f'cast, 44.4 prev
    • France May Markit Mfg Flash PMI, 50.6, 50.0 f'cast, 50.0 prev
    • France May Business Climate Mfg, 104, 101 f'cast, 101 prev

    Economic Data Ahead

    • (0830 ET/1230 GMT) The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits is likely to have increased by 3,000 to a seasonally adjusted 215,000 for the week ended May 17, while continuing claims for the week ended May 10 is expected to rise to 1.67 million from a previous reading of 1.66 million.
    • (0830 ET/1230 GMT) Statistics Canada will release its wholesale trade figures for the month of March. The indicator is likely to have increased by 0.9 percent, from 0.3 percent in February.
    • (0945 ET/1345 GMT) Financial firm Markit releases U.S. preliminary Manufacturing PMI for the month of May. The index posted a final reading of 52.6 in the previous month.
    • (0945 ET/1345 GMT) Financial firm Markit Economics is likely to report that preliminary U.S. service PMI business activity index rose to 53.2 in May after printing a final reading of 53.0 in April.
    • (0945 ET/1345 GMT) Markit Economics will release preliminary U.S. composite PMI for the month of May. The index posted a final reading of 53.0 in the prior month.
    • (1000 ET/1400 GMT) The U.S. new single-family home sales are expected to have declined 2.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 675,000 units in April, New home sales rose 4.5 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 692,000 units.
    • (1030 ET/1430 GMT) The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports its Natural Gas Storage for the week ending May 17.
    • (1100 ET/1500 GMT) Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City issues manufacturing activity index for the month of May. The indicator stood at 12 in the previous month.

    Key Events Ahead

    • (1300 ET/1700 GMT) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic and Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly participate in a panel on "Technology-Enabled Disruption: Implications for Business, Labor Markets and Monetary Policy" in Dallas

    FX Beat

    DXY: The dollar index surged to a near 4-week peak after the U.S. Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting agreed that their current patient approach to setting monetary policy could remain in place for some time. The greenback against a basket of currencies traded 0.1 percent up at 98.19, having touched a high of 98.26 earlier, its highest since April 26. FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index stood at 32.90 (Neutral) by 1000 GMT.

    EUR/USD: The euro declined to a 4-week low after data showed German business morale deteriorated more than expected in May due mainly to a fall in services sector confidence. Additionally, the European parliamentary elections are due to begin, with eurosceptic parties expected to poll well. The European currency traded 0.2 percent down at 1.1133, having touched a low of 1.1129 earlier, its lowest since Apr. 26. FxWirePro's Hourly Euro Strength Index stood at -44.21 (Neutral) by 1000 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.1218 (May 7 High), a break above targets 1.1262 (April 22 High). On the downside, support is seen at 1.1118 (April 25 Low), a break below could drag it below 1.1100.

    USD/JPY: The dollar eased to a 3-day low below the 110.00 handle, as the latest round of U.S.-China trade dispute and a soft set of business surveys dented investors' risk appetite. The major was trading 0.3 percent down at 110.04, having hit a high of 110.67 on Tuesday, its highest since May 7. FxWirePro's Hourly Yen Strength Index stood at 32.90 (Neutral) by 1000 GMT. Investors’ will continue to track the broad-based market sentiment, ahead of the U.S. unemployment benefit claims, Markit prelim PMI's, home sales and speeches by Fed Kaplan, Daly, Bostic and Barkin. Immediate resistance is located at 110.68 (61.8% retracement of 111.68 and 109.01), a break above targets 111.11 (78.6% retracement). On the downside, support is seen at 109.80 (May 20 Low), a break below could take it lower at 109.47 (May 10 Low).

    GBP/USD: Sterling plunged to a fresh 4-1/2 month low, as pressure mounted on Prime Minister Theresa May to name a date for her departure after her final attempt to secure a Brexit deal failed to win over lawmakers. The major traded 0.1 percent down at 1.2647, having hit a low of 1.2605 earlier; it’s lowest since Jan. 3. FxWirePro's Hourly Sterling Strength Index stood at -55.97 (Bearish) 1000 GMT. Immediate resistance is located at 1.2726 (23.6% retracement of 1.3047 and 1.2624). a break above could take it near 1.2788 (38.2% retracement). On the downside, support is seen at 1.2570 (Dec. 17 Low), a break below targets 1.2529 (Dec. 14 Low). Against the euro, the pound was trading 0.05 percent down at 88.06 pence, having hit a low of 88.39 on Wednesday, it’s lowest since Feb. 14.

    USD/CHF: The Swiss franc rose, extending previous session gains, as persistent U.S.-China trade fears and Brexit concerns supported risk aversion. The major trades 0.1 percent down at 1.0083, having touched a low of 1.0066 on Wednesday; it’s lowest since May 15. FxWirePro's Hourly Swiss Franc Strength Index stood at 87.90 (Slightly Bullish) by 1000 GMT. On the higher side, near-term resistance is around 1.0159 (Apr. 18 High) and any break above will take the pair to next level till 1.0196 (May 6 High). The near-term support is around 1.0049 (May 13 Low), and any close below that level will drag it till 1.0000.

    Equities Recap

    European shares plunged as concerns grew that the China-U.S. trade conflict was turning into a technology cold war between both the economies.

    The pan-European STOXX 600 index tumbled 1.6 percent at 373.33 points, while the FTSEurofirst 300 index slumped 1.5 percent to 1,470.32 points.

    Britain's FTSE 100 trades 1.4 percent down at 7,233.81 points, while mid-cap FTSE 250 fell 1.4 to 19,045.74 points.

    Germany's DAX declined 1.9 percent at 11,939.78 points; France's CAC 40 trades 1.8 percent lower at 5,281.63 points.

    Commodities Recap

    Crude oil prices plunged to a 2-week trough amid surging U.S. crude inventories as ample supply and weak refinery data weighed on demand. International benchmark Brent crude was trading 1.5 percent lower at $69.78 per barrel by 1028 GMT, having hit a high of $73.39 on Monday, its highest since Apr, 26. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was trading 1.6 percent down at $60.34 a barrel, after rising as high as $63.79 on Monday, its highest since the May 1.

    Gold prices rose after falling for seven straight sessions, as simmering U.S.-China trade tensions and the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting indicating that rates will remain unchanged underpinned the dollar. Spot gold was trading 0.3 percent up at $1,276.48 per ounce by 1033 GMT, having touched a low of $1,269.41 on Tuesday, its lowest since May 3. U.S. gold futures were unchanged at $1,274.20.

    Treasuries Recap

    The yields on the U.S. 2-year Treasuries were at 2.237 percent, while 10-year U.S. Treasury yields tumbled to 2.35 percent, their lowest level in almost two months.

    The German 10-year bond yield fell further into negative territory after a survey indicated that business activity in the eurozone was weaker than expected in May. German 10-year government bond yield fell three basis points to minus 0.112 percent, sliding back down towards recent 2-1/2 year lows of minus 0.132 percent, while French 10-year yields fell to 0.29 percent, down two basis points, with yields across the bloc 2-3 bps lower on the day.

    The Britain 10-year bond yield fell to 0.98 percent, its lowest level since late March.

    The Japanese government bond prices edged higher, with the five-year and 10-year JGB yields each declining 0.5 basis point to minus 0.170 percent and minus 0.060 percent, respectively. The 30-year yield also fell half a basis point to 0.515 percent.

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