• FxWirePro: USD/JPY eyes 200-dma at 111.74, further weakness on break below

    Source: FxWire Pro - Technicals / 19 Nov 2017 23:23:50   Eastern Standard Time

    • USD/JPY consolidates previous session's slump, trades around the 112 handle after hitting session lows at 111.88.
       
    • Japan Merchandise Trade Balance total came in at ¥285.4B, below expectations (¥330B) in October.
       
    • Daily momentum indicators are heavily bearish pointing increasingly lower.
       
    • Bears eye 200-DMA at 111.74, break below could accentuate weakness. Scope then for test of 111.46 weekly 20-SMA ahead of 111 levels.
       
    • On the flipside, we see major resistance at 112.70 (converged 5 and 50-DMA). Upside only on break above.
       
    • Going forward markets will remain concerned about the tax bill, Senate Finance Committee's vote is unlikely to take place until after Thanksgiving (23 Nov).

    Support levels - 112.98 (23.6% Fib retrace of 107.318 to 114.73 rally), 112.48 (50-DMA), 111.90 (38.2% Fib)

    Resistance levels - 113.45 (5-DMA), 113.63 (20-DMA), 114, 114.50 (trendline)

    Recommendation: Good to go short on break below 200-DMA at 111.75, SL: 112.70, TP: 111.50/ 111/ 110.60.

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